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Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 07 2013
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 07 2013
GBP/USD fading after failed test of 1.5435 level; BOE report looms
The GBPUSD runs the risk of cascading lower yet again after it ran up to “correction resistance” and failed. The BOE’s inflation report and Mr. Carney’s appearance before Parliament are sure to create a sharp move. The GBP/USD cross rallied sharply on Dollar weakness following Friday’s jobs report in the US. The bullish tone carried over into Sunday night’s open and continued to stair-step higher until just after Britain’s industrial and manufacturing production numbers were released. Shortly after those numbers came out, the GBP/USD began to sell off – this time in a stair-step pattern in the opposite direction. So far, there is still a chance that the latest bit of selling is just a correction lower leading up to the next thrust higher. But, technicians say that a break below 1.5213 would put out any bullish flame.
[url]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/07082013/[/url]
FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-08-07 09:30 GMT | Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report
2013-08-07 09:30 GMT | Mark Carney speaks at UK Parliament
2013-08-07 12:30 GMT | Canada. Building Permits (MoM) (Jun)
2013-08-07 19:00 GMT | US Consumer Credit Change (Jun)
FOREX NEWS :
2013-08-07 05:20 GMT | EUR/GBP up after Tuesday’s gains ahead of BOE inflation report
2013-08-07 04:26 GMT | AUD/USD downtrend dominant; targets at 0.8550, 0.8675 - ANZ
2013-08-07 03:20 GMT | GBP/USD fading after failed test of 1.5435 level; BOE report looms
2013-08-07 02:49 GMT | Risk of a dovish BoJ - RBS
-----------------
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.33156 LOW 1.32926 BID 1.33025 ASK 1.33028 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08 : 41:08
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: EURUSD trapped to the consolidation mode on the hourly chart frame. Next resistive barrier is seen at 1.3315 (R1), break here is required to enable next attractive points at 1.3324 (R2) and 1.3332 (R3). Downwards scenario: While instrument trades above the moving averages, our short-term bias would stay positive though penetration below the support level at 1.3292 (S1) might open way towards to lower targets at 1.3283 (S2) and 1.3273 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.3315, 1.3324, 1.3332
Support Levels: 1.3292, 1.3283, 1.3273
-----------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.53635 LOW 1.53173 BID 1.53347 ASK 1.53352 CHANGE -0.09% TIME 08 : 41:08
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Possibility of uptrend evolvement is seen above the next resistance at 1.5363 (R1). Violation here would increase bullish pressure and suggest next intraday targets at 1.5387 (R2) and 1.5412 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our next support level is placed at 1.5317 (S1), right below the local minimum. Possible penetration below it might initiate bearish pressure and gradually push the price towards to our intraday targets at 1.5295 (S2) and 1.5273 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.5363, 1.5387, 1.5412
Support Levels: 1.5317, 1.5295, 1.5273
----------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 97.804 LOW 97.092 BID 97.226 ASK 97.230 CHANGE -0.52% TIME 08 : 41:09
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
Upwards scenario: Descending structure suggests possible correction ahead. Break above the resistance at 97.58 (R1) would clear the way towards to higher target at 97.83 (R2). Further price appreciation would face then final resistive measure at 98.07 (R3) Downwards scenario: Local low offers an important supportive measure at 97.08 (S1). A violation here might call for a run towards to initial targets at 96.84 (S2) and 96.58 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 97.58, 97.83, 98.07
Support Levels: 97.08, 96.84, 96.58
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 08 2013
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 08 2013
BoJ to keep massive monetary easing
BOJ kept monetary policy steady by unanimous vote, retaining its plan to increase monetary base at annual pace of 60-70 trillion yen. The bank said that the CPI uptick from recent months will gradually accelerate as inflation expectations continue to rise on the whole. Monetary easing to continue until 2% inflation target reached, the BoJ said. On the economic outlook, the central bank said the Japanese economy is recoverying moderately but still faces many uncertainties.
[url]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/08082013/[/url]
FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-08-08 08:00 GMT | EMU ECB Monthly Report
2013-08-08 12:30 GMT | US Initial Jobless Claims
2013-08-08 12:30 GMT | Canada. New Housing Price Index (YoY)
2013-08-08 23:50 GMT | Japan. Tertiary Industry Index (MoM)
-------------------
EURUSD
HIGH 1.33506 LOW 1.33281 BID 1.33485 ASK 1.33489 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08 : 35:44
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Fresh high offers a key resistive barrier at 1.3346 (R1). Subsequently loss here might create upside momentum and drive market price towards to our initial targets at 1.3358 (R2) and 1.3370 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: On the other hand, depreciation below the technically important support level at 1.3327 (S1) might lead to the correction formation on the short-term perspective. Possible targets lies at 1.3314 (S2) and 1.3302 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.3346, 1.3358, 1.3370
Support Levels: 1.3327, 1.3314, 1.3302
----------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.55067 LOW 1.54849 BID 1.55067 ASK 1.55071 CHANGE 0.13% TIME 08 : 35:45
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
Upwards scenario: After the strong appreciation yesterday we expect to see some consolidation ahead. Though clearance of next resistance level at 1.5531 (R1) might enable bullish pressure and open route towards to our next targets at 1.5557 (R2) and 1.5584 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside, support level at 1.5478 (S1) limits possible retracement expansion. Break here is required to enable lower target at 1.5450 (S2) en route to final aim at 1.5424 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.5531, 1.5557, 1.5584
Support Levels: 1.5478, 1.5450, 1.5424
----------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 96.935 LOW 96.322 BID 96.415 ASK 96.416 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08 : 35:46
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
Upwards scenario: Possible buying interest might arise above the resistance at 96.94 (R1). Clearance here would suggest next intraday target at 97.18 (R2) and if the price holds its momentum we can expect an exposure of 97.42 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, further downtrend development may encounter supportive measure at 96.30 (S1). Penetration through this level would targeting then supportive means at 96.08 (S2) and 95.84 (S3) in potential.
Resistance Levels: 96.94, 97.18, 97.42
Support Levels: 96.30, 96.08, 95.84
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 13 2013
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 13 2013
Yen short trade revival subject to Japan's sales tax chatter...
By now, the market completes a full trading day in which investors and traders had the opportunity to digest what to make out of Monday's disappointing Japan Q2 GDP data, but most importantly, what might be the implications on the widely covered topic of the sales tax hike. As reported yesterday, the big miss in the Japanese growth figures, displaying a -1% negative deviation from 3.6% expected to 2.6% preliminary data, is not helping the case to implement a planned 3% aggressive increase on the sales tax. Historically, there are well-founded reasons to fear that the economy may face some undesirable headwinds if being too aggressive on a tax hike. Japanese policy-makers are growing more vocal on softer option to take on, including either a more conservative 1% incremental approach on the sales tax, or even delaying the tax hike by one year after Japan's PM Abe Adviser, Mr. Hamada,was quoted earlier yesterday saying "there is no need to hurry with the sales tax hike after the weaker-than-expected Q2 GDP as it might harm the economy." On the flip side, BoJ Chief Kuroda said last week that it is not necessary a delay in the sales tax hike, saying that “ending deflation and raising the sales tax are achievable at the same time.”
[url]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/13082013/[/url]
FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-08-13 08:30 GMT | UK Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Jul)
2013-08-13 09:00 GMT | EMU ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment (Jul)
2013-08-13 12:30 GMT | US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)
2013-08-13 14:00 GMT | US Business Inventories (Jun)
FOREX NEWS :
2013-08-13 04:54 GMT | GBP/USD working off overbought condition with current pullback
2013-08-13 04:54 GMT | EUR/GBP treading water above 0.86 ahead of UK CPI
2013-08-13 03:56 GMT | EUR/JPY pushed up to fresh new 129.60 highs
2013-08-13 03:42 GMT | EUR/USD ignited on impressive rally
----------------------
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.3313 LOW 1.32891 BID 1.33032 ASK 1.33032 CHANGE 0.03% TIME 08 : 34:53
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Price dip lower yesterday and finally stabilized. A violation of next resistance at 1.3313 (R1) might call for a run towards to next target at 1.3327 (R2) and any further appreciation would then be limited to final target at 1.3340 (R3). Downwards scenario: We placed our support level right below the session low at 1.3288 (S1). Clearance here is liable to open way towards to our interim target at 1.3275 (S2) and then might expose final aim at 1.3262 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.3313, 1.3327, 1.3340
Support Levels: 1.3288, 1.3275, 1.3262
----------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.54649 LOW 1.54472 BID 1.54599 ASK 1.54607 CHANGE 0% TIME 08 : 34:54
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Market trapped to the consolidation phase after initial uptrend development. Further buying interest might occur above the resistance at 1.5485 (R1). Our initial targets locates at 1.5512 (R2) and 1.5538 (R3) Downwards scenario: On the downside Cable is approaching our next supportive barrier at 1.5442 (S1). Break here is required to drive market price towards to next visible targets at 1.5415 (S2) and 1.5388 (S3) later on today.
Resistance Levels: 1.5485, 1.5512, 1.5538
Support Levels: 1.5442, 1.5415, 1.5388
----------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 97.561 LOW 96.857 BID 97.451 ASK 97.454 CHANGE 0.57% TIME 08 : 34:55
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the upside recently, turning short-term bias to the positive side. Next resistive structure on the way lies at 97.65 (R1), break here would suggest next intraday targets at 97.88 (R2) and 98.11 (R3). Downwards scenario: Any downside fluctuations remains for now limited to the key support barrier at 97.14 (S1). Only clear break here would be a signal of possible market easing towards to our targets at 96.93 (S2) and 96.70 (S3) in potential.
Resistance Levels: 97.65, 97.88, 98.11
Support Levels: 97.14, 96.93, 96.70
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 14 2013
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 14 2013
Fed’s Lockhart reiterates September reduction in Federal bond buying
In news that will certainly resonate through FX Markets, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart reported that the Federal Reserve could begin reducing its bond-buying stimulus as early as its September meeting – despite inflation still being below its targeted values. One of the more pressing concerns facing investors and policymakers alike is that the U.S. economic performance is too volatile or unstable for Federal Reserve policymakers to initiate their comprehensive plan for both reducing and eventually halting their asset-purchasing program as early as next month. Ultimately though, Lockhart appeared open or receptive to at least a modest pullback in Federal monetary stimulus from its current pace of $85 billion per month. "I wouldn't rule out September," he stated. "As I see it, a decision to proceed - whether it is in September, October, or December - ought to be thought of as a cautious first step." Indeed, U.S. inflation has been running well below the Fed's 2.0% target for some time – historically very low. However Lockhart noted he did not see any signs that deflation was accelerating, reiterating that the current inflationary backdrop would still be consistent with a modest pullback in quantitative easing.
[url]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/14082013/[/url]
FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-08-14 06:00 GMT | Germany. Gross Domestic Product n.s.a (YoY) (Q2)
2013-08-14 08:30 GMT | UK. Bank of England Minutes
2013-08-14 09:00 GMT | EMU. Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (Q2)
2013-08-14 12:30 GMT | US. Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)
FOREX NEWS :
2013-08-14 05:01 GMT | EUR/USD grinds sideways at 1.3263 in advance of key European data
2013-08-14 04:56 GMT | EUR/GBP capped below 0.86 ahead of UK jobs data
2013-08-14 04:10 GMT | USD marginally lower on Yen strength; Hong-Kong closed
2013-08-14 03:12 GMT | Next RBA cut November, more cuts may follow - NAB
--------------------
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.3268 LOW 1.32532 BID 1.32638 ASK 1.32640 CHANGE 0.01% TIME 08 : 38:20
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Market remains relatively stable below the moving averages, though clearance of next resistance level at 1.3269 (R1) might initiates bullish pressure. Above the local high locates our intraday targets at 1.3282 (R2) and 1.3294 (R3). Downwards scenario: Failure to establish positive bias today would shift our focus to the next support level at 1.3246 (S1). Clearance here would open way towards to next targets at 1.3234 (S2) and 1.3221 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.3269, 1.3282, 1.3294
Support Levels: 1.3246, 1.3234, 1.3221
---------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.54535 LOW 1.54362 BID 1.54425 ASK 1.54434 CHANGE -0.03% TIME 08 : 38:21
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Possibility of price progress is seen above the next resistance level at 1.5472 (R1). Breakthrough here would suggest our interim target at 1.5498 (R2) and then mark at 1.5524 (R3) acts as last resistive measure today. Downwards scenario: Any downside extension is limited now to the next support level at 1.5425 (S1). Below here we see potential for the price acceleration towards to next targets at 1.5401 (S2) and 1.5375 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.5472, 1.5498, 1.5524
Support Levels: 1.5425, 1.5401, 1.5375
----------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 98.406 LOW 97.866 BID 98.386 ASK 98.388 CHANGE 0.18% TIME 08 : 38:22
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
Upwards scenario: Yesterday price acceleration on the upside suggests medium-term positive bias. Possible penetration above the resistance level at 98.52 (R1) is liable to open way towards to our initial targets at 98.71 (R2) and 98.89 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, break below the support at 97.85 (S1) is required to enable possible retracement development. Our next supportive measures locates at 97.65 (S2) and 97.45 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 98.52, 98.71, 98.89
Support Levels: 97.85, 97.65, 97.45
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 15 2013
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 15 2013
EUR/USD rips vertically on a 10-minute chart; still vulnerable macro set-up
The EUR/USD just ripped straight higher for over 400 pips on non-news related buying. Still, any upside is corrective in nature unless 1.3414 is conquered say technicians. EUR/USD will likely be trading off of US data Thursday Despite the rip higher that just occurred on the intraday chart, the macro picture appears to be setting up for much more downside once this upside correction runs its course. The European markets are closed for the most part Thursday in honor of Ascension Day.
[url]http://www.einvestorsforum.com/#sthash.YmmEQouT.dpbs[/url]
FOREX NEWS :
2013-08-15 04:35 GMT | EUR/GBP sitting above 0.8550 ahead of UK retail sales
2013-08-15 04:22 GMT | USD/JPY hits ceiling at 97.80
2013-08-15 03:45 GMT | GBP/AUD below 1.70 testing June highs as support now
2013-08-15 03:15 GMT | AUD/JPY struggles to break 90.00 but looking bullish
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.33103 LOW 1.3253 BID 1.32896 ASK 1.32897 CHANGE 0.26% TIME 08 : 09:02
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Neutral channel formation remains in play on the hourly chart. Our next resistance level is placed above the local peak at 1.3310 (R1). Strengthening above it would point to resistive structure at 1.3341 (R2) onto 1.3367 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, price pattern suggests bearish potential if the instrument manages to overcome next support level at 1.3241 (S1). Possible price regress could expose our initial targets at 1.3223 (S2) and 1.3202 (S3) in potential.
Resistance Levels: 1.3310, 1.3341, 1.3367
Support Levels: 1.3241, 1.3223, 1.3202
---------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.55232 LOW 1.54978 BID 1.55187 ASK 1.55193 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08 : 09:03
OUTLOOK : SUMMARY
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Measures of resistance might be activating when the pair approaches the 1.5538 (R1) mark. Break here would suggest next interim target at 1.5566 (R2) and If the price keeps its momentum we expect an exposure of 1.5601 (R3). Downwards scenario: Possible pull back development is limited now to the key supportive barrier at 1.5496 (S1). Only loss here would be considered as a beginning of a retracement expansion. Our intraday targets locates at 1.5467 (S2) and 1.5436 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.5538, 1.5566, 1.5601
Support Levels: 1.5496, 1.5467, 1.5436
--------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 98.296 LOW 97.584 BID 97.732 ASK 97.737 CHANGE -0.39% TIME 08:09:04
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Upside formation is limited now to the next resistive barrier at 98.25 (R1). Clearance here is required to provide a space for a move towards to next target at 98.56 (R2) and then final aim would be 98.77 (R3). Downwards scenario: We would shift our short-term technical outlook to the negative if the price manage to penetrate below the key support at 97.60 (S1). Loss here would suggest next initial targets at 97.30 (S2) and 97.02 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 98.25, 98.56, 98.77
Support Levels: 97.60, 97.30, 97.02
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
Obama seeks Congressional approval before launching attack against Syria
U.S. President Barack Obama has delayed a military strike against Syria by requesting authorization first from an incredulous Congress, a decision that may take no less than 10 days to be given. As Obama said, in a hastily organized appearance in the Rose Garden, "I’m prepared to give that order, but having made my decision as commander in chief based on what I am convinced is our national security interests, I’m also mindful that I’m the president of the world’s oldest constitutional democracy.” According to John Boehner, the Republican speaker of the House of Representatives, “we expect the House to consider a measure the week of September 9.″
[url]https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/02092013[/url]
FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-09-02 07:53 GMT | DE Markit Manufacturing PMI (Aug)
2013-09-02 07:58 GMT | EMU Markit Manufacturing PMI (Aug)
2013-09-02 08:28 GMT | UK Markit Manufacturing PMI (Aug)
2013-09-02 15:30 GMT | US 6-Month Bill Auction
FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-02 05:06 GMT | EUR/USD now trading lower and below key support at 1.3205
2013-09-02 04:50 GMT | Australian Dollar faces monumental week - UBS
2013-09-02 03:54 GMT | GBP/USD creeps north; target at 1.56
2013-09-02 03:18 GMT | EUR/GBP rapidly approaching projected downside target at 0.8472
---------------------
EURUSD
HIGH 1.32141 LOW 1.31917 BID 1.32094 ASK 1.32097 CHANGE -0.08% TIME 08 : 32:59
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Possible retracement action is limited now to the next resistive measure at 1.3226 (R1). Clearance here is required to enable our interim target at 1.3248 (R2) en route to final aim at 1.3270 (R3). Downwards scenario: The downside direction remains favored according to the technical indicators. Our next support measure lies at 1.3174 (S1). Decline below it would enable lower targets at 1.3152 (S2) and 1.3130 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.3226, 1.3248, 1.3270
Support Levels: 1.3174, 1.3152, 1.3130
-------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.55658 LOW 1.55056 BID 1.55500 ASK 1.55503 CHANGE 0.36% TIME 08 : 33:00
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low
Upwards scenario: GBPUSD clearly determined positive bias on the short-term perspective. Penetration above the resistive measure at 1.5556 (R1) might encourage protective orders execution and drive market price towards to the next resistive means at 1.5582 (R2) and 1.5598 (R3). Downwards scenario: Although market players may prefer to increase exposure on the short positions and push the price below the support level at 1.5527 (S1). Possible price devaluation would suggest initial targets at 1.5510 (S2) and then 1.5493 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.5556, 1.5582, 1.5598
Support Levels: 1.5527, 1.5510, 1.5493
---------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 98.674 LOW 98.275 BID 98.598 ASK 98.603 CHANGE 0.51% TIME 08 : 33:00
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low
Upwards scenario: While both moving averages are pointing up, medium-term technical outlook would be positive. Appreciation above the resistance at 98.75 (R1) would enable recovery phase towards to next targets at 98.88 (R2) and 99.01 (R3). Downwards scenario: Negative developments might be settled below the important support level at 98.47 (S1). Any price action below it would then be targeting support level at 98.34 (S2) and then final target could be exposed at 98.21 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 98.75, 98.88, 99.01
Support Levels: 98.47, 98.34, 98.21
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
The Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged at 2.5% record lows, with the Monetary Policy Statement offering some interesting clues, saying "the Board will continue to assess the outlook and adjust policy as needed", omitting a more aggressive narrative seen in last few months. While the door to reduce rates further is not closed, the statement sounds not as dovish as one may have expected, yet the value of the Australian Dollar and domestic indicators will continue to determine the future rate setting. For now, looks like AUD bulls will gain Sept battle.
[url]http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis[/url]
FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-09-03 08:30 GMT | UK PMI Construction (Aug)
2013-09-03 09:00 GMT | EMU Producer Price Index (YoY) (Jul)
2013-09-03 12:58 GMT | US Markit Manufacturing PMI (Aug)
2013-09-03 14:00 GMT | US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug)
FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-03 05:38 GMT | GBP/USD drifting higher for a 3rd session after rough 2 weeks; 1.5587 key hurdle
2013-09-03 05:07 GMT | AUD/USD spikes above 0.9000 after RBA
2013-09-03 04:19 GMT | EUR/USD extends choppy range; remains at 30-day lows
2013-09-03 04:03 GMT | USD/JPY continues to consolidate above 99.00
-------------------------
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.31968 LOW 1.31778 BID 1.31800 ASK 1.31804 CHANGE -0.08% TIME 08 : 44:17
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Possibility of retracement formation is seen above the yesterday high -1.3227 (R1). Break here is required to clear the way towards to higher targets at 1.3248 (R2) and 1.3269 (R3). Downwards scenario: We placed our support level right below the local low at 1.3173 (S1). Clearance here is liable to open way towards to our interim target at 1.3152 (S2) and then might expose final aim at 1.3130 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.3227, 1.3248, 1.3269
Support Levels: 1.3173, 1.3152, 1.3130
----------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.5562 LOW 1.55379 BID 1.55491 ASK 1.55498 CHANGE 0.05% TIME 08 : 44:17
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
Upwards scenario: Fresh fractal level at 1.5562 (R1) prevents further gains. Successful clearance here would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5580 (R2) and 1.5597 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside, next support level locates at 1.5530 (S1). Possible penetration below this mark would open way towards to next target at 1.5513 (S2) and then any further market decline would be limited to last mark at 1.5496 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.5562, 1.5580, 1.5597
Support Levels: 1.5530, 1.5513, 1.5496
-----------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 99.703 LOW 99.302 BID 99.555 ASK 99.557 CHANGE 0.24% TIME 08 : 44:18
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium
Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the upside recently, turning short-term bias to the positive side. Next resistive structure on the way lies at 99.71 (R1), break here would suggest next intraday targets at 99.93 (R2) and 100.15 (R3). Downwards scenario: Failure to establish positive bias today would shift our focus to the next support level at 99.29 (S1). Clearance here would open way towards to next targets at 99.06 (S2) and 98.82 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 99.71, 99.93, 100.15
Support Levels: 99.29, 99.06, 98.82
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
New Syria resolution in Senate sets 90-day deadline for U.S. military action
A new use-of-force resolution for Syria sets a 60-day deadline, with one 30-day extension possible, for U.S. President Barack Obama to launch military strikes against Syria, reports Politico from a revised draft authorization, also adding it will also bar the involvement of U.S. ground forces in Syria. As Politico adds: "The revised resolution was crafted by Sens. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.) and Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), the chairman and ranking member of the Foreign Relations Committee, following several days of negotiations." The proposal could go for voting by Wednesday.
[url]http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis[/url]
FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR :
2013-09-04 09:00 GMT | EMU Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (Q2)
2013-09-04 12:30 GMT | US Trade Balance (Jul)
2013-09-04 14:00 GMT | CA BoC Interest Rate Decision
2013-09-04 18:00 GMT | US Fed's Beige Book
FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-04 05:20 GMT | Deeply oversold EUR/GBP breaking all support and projections on downside
2013-09-04 05:14 GMT | USD/CHF is trading nearly its daily highs
2013-09-04 04:17 GMT | GBP/USD stuck below 1.5587 key hurdle ahead of Wednesday’s data
2013-09-04 04:00 GMT | EUR/USD, potential of a sharp test of 1.3050 - ANZ
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EURUSD :
HIGH 1.31761 LOW 1.31619 BID 1.31678 ASK 1.31682 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08 : 51:30
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Down trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: Price dip lower yesterday and finally stabilized near its local low. A violation of next resistance at 1.3194 (R1) might call for a run towards to next target at 1.3215 (R2) and any further appreciation would then be limited to final target at 1.3235 (R3). Downwards scenario: Fresh low formed today offers an important resistive measure at 1.3138 (S1). Break here is required to drive market price towards to next visible targets at 1.3117 (S2) and 1.3097 (S3) later on today.
Resistance Levels: 1.3194, 1.3215, 1.3235
Support Levels: 1.3138, 1.3117, 1.3097
-----------------------
GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.55677 LOW 1.5555 BID 1.55616 ASK 1.55621 CHANGE 0.01% TIME 08 : 51:30
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Sideway
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Neutral tone remains favored on the hourly chart frame, however possible extension above the resistive measure at 1.5582 (R1) would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5597 (R2) and 1.5611 (R3). Downwards scenario: An evidence of possible descending structure could be provided if the pair manages to surpass key support level at 1.5543 (S1). In such case we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5529 (S2) and 1.5514 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.5582, 1.5597, 1.5611
Support Levels: 1.5543, 1.5529, 1.5514
----------------------
USDJPY :
HIGH 99.769 LOW 99.418 BID 99.723 ASK 99.725 CHANGE 0.15% TIME 08 : 51:31
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Market remains relatively stable above the moving averages. Clearance of next resistance level at 99.88 (R1) might initiates bullish pressure and expose our intraday targets at 100.15 (R2) and 100.41 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: Any downside extension is limited now to the next support level at 99.40 (S1). Below here we see potential for the price acceleration towards to next targets at 99.14 (S2) and 98.89 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 99.88, 100.15, 100.41
Support Levels: 99.40, 99.14, 98.89
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
Today's main event is the ECB meeting this afternoon
oday’s main event is the ECB meeting this afternoon. In our view, there are fewer arguments for a rate cut today than a month ago, given recent upside surprises in economic indicators and a slower pace of decline in excess liquidity (see ECB Preview: Keep the powder dry). Hence, we expect the ECB to keep rates unchanged and Draghi to refrain from explaining further the forward guidance.
The EUR/USD is trading downwards ahead of ECB and G20 meeting, but still remains above its 200-day moving average. Will the EUR/USD finally manage to break its 200-day MA at 1.3144? The pair is under pressure again, after a short relief in Wednesday’s trading session. The global equities rally rounded out by the biggest advance for the US Indexes in two weeks, pushed downwards the American dollar on Wednesday, i.e. the single currency got a small relief yesterday. Still, risk over the next 48 hours is of great significance and should be considered more trend defining. The G20 meeting doesn’t have a definitely positive or negative outcome, but Friday’s NFPs do. For today’s ECB meeting, there are obviously many members of the Governing Council who want to convince the market that rate hikes are still an “illusion”. -FXstreet.com
[url]http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis[/url]
FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-05 05:36 GMT EUR/USD still under pressure ahead of ECB meeting
2013-09-05 05:34 GMT USD/JPY now at key resistance at 99.94 after rally of the last hour
2013-09-05 04:42 GMT EUR/GBP glued to 0.8450 ahead of BoE & ECB
2013-09-05 04:24 GMT GBP/JPY confined in a tight range
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.32076 LOW 1.31644 BID 1.31689 ASK 1.31694 CHANGE -0.29% TIME 08 : 44:52
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: EURUSD gained momentum on the downside recently and likely will close on the negative territory today. However, clearance of our next resistive structure at 1.3200 (R1) would open way towards to our initial target at 1.3218 (R2) and any further market rise would then be targeting 1.3235 (R3). Downwards scenario: Possible market weakening is protected by important technical level at 1.3157 (S1). Break here is required to open road towards to interim target at 1.3138 (S2) en route to final aim at 1.3119 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.3200, 1.3218, 1.3235
Support Levels: 1.3157, 1.3138, 1.3119
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GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.56275 LOW 1.55956 BID 1.56032 ASK 1.56038 CHANGE -0.13% TIME 08 : 44:53
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Measures of resistance might be activating if the pair approaches 1.5636 (R1) price level. Break here would suggest next interim target at 1.5652 (R2) and If the price keeps its momentum we expect an exposure of 1.5670 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our next support level locates at 1.5593 (S1) mark. Possible penetration below this level would open way towards to next target at 1.5575 (S2) and then final aim lie at 1.5557 (S3) price level.
Resistance Levels: 1.5636, 1.5652, 1.5670
Support Levels: 1.5593, 1.5575, 1.5557
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USDJPY :
HIGH 99.982 LOW 99.644 BID 99.852 ASK 99.857 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08 : 44:54
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up
TREND CONDITION : Up trend
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Market trapped to the consolidation phase after initial uptrend development. Further buying interest might occur above the resistance at 100.15 (R1). Our initial targets locates at 100.41 (R2) and 100.66 (R3) Downwards scenario: On the other side, depreciation below the supportive measure at 99.53 (S1) would confirm bearish medium-term tendency and validate our next intraday targets at 99.27 (S2) and 98.99 (S3) in potential.
Resistance Levels: 100.15, 100.41, 100.66
Support Levels: 99.53, 99.27, 98.99
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
At the press conference following the ECB Governing Council's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at 0.5% in September, president Mario Draghi reiterated that key interest rates would remain at the current or lower levels for an extended period of time.He stressed that economic activity in the Eurozone is improving, as confidence indicators show, and that the ECB is ready to support the recovery with its accommodative monetary policy. Current geopolitical tensions are one of the main threats to the recovery, he said. Inflation in the Eurozone is low and should remain at this level in the coming months. Upside risks on inflation are connected with higher indirect taxes and commodity prices, while downside risks stem from weaker growth. The ECB has risen its Eurozone 2013 growth forecast to -0.4% from -0.6% and lowered the projection for 2014 to 1% from 1.1%. As far as inflation is concerned, the forecast for 2013 was hiked to 1.5% from 1.4% this year and left unchanged at 1.3% for 2014. Mario Draghi also stressed the importance of setting up the banking union quickly, as "weak loan dynamics continue to reflect the current state of the business cycle."
[url]http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis[/url]
FOREX NEWS :
2013-09-06 05:29 GMT | USD/JPY close to 100.00 area ahead of NFP
2013-09-06 04:17 GMT | USD eases in Asia ahead of NFP; Yen strengthens
2013-09-06 03:57 GMT | Technicians need gold to break 1,351.60 to validate bearish call
2013-09-06 02:51 GMT | Sell EUR/USD into 1.3150, TP 1.3090 ahead of NFP - JPMorgan
EURUSD :
HIGH 1.31384 LOW 1.31161 BID 1.31310 ASK 1.31315 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08 : 50:06
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis
Upwards scenario: On the upside, fractals level at 1.3156 (R1) offers an important resistive structure. Any penetration above that level would suggest next intraday targets at 1.3179 (R2) and 1.3202 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the 20 SMA our technical outlook would be negative. Extension lower the key support level at 1.3110 (S1) is being able to drive market price towards to our next targets at 1.3087 (S2) and 1.3065 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 1.3156, 1.3179, 1.3202
Support Levels: 1.3110, 1.3087, 1.3065
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GBPUSD :
HIGH 1.56133 LOW 1.55862 BID 1.56054 ASK 1.56059 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08 : 50:07
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral
TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: GBPUSD stabilized on the hourly chart however appreciation above the next resistance at 1.5627 (R1) might be a good catalyst for an upwards formation towards to next targets at 1.5647 (R2) and 1.5666 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, new phase of retracement formation might commence below the important support level at 1.5572 (S1). Break here is required to validate our targets at 1.5552 (S2) and 1.5531 (S3) later on today.
Resistance Levels: 1.5327, 1.5647, 1.5666
Support Levels: 1.5572, 1.5552, 1.5531
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USDJPY :
HIGH 100.225 LOW 99.695 BID 99.735 ASK 99.739 CHANGE -0.37% TIME 08 : 50:07
OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down
TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration
TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish
IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High
Upwards scenario: Upside risk aversion is seen above the next resistance level at 100.15 (R1). Appreciation above it might lead to the positive intraday bias formation towards to our next targets at 100.44 (R2) and 100.73 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Any downside extension is limited now to the next support level at 99.56 (S1). Below here we see potential for the price regress towards to next targets at 99.29 (S2) and 99.00 (S3).
Resistance Levels: 100.15, 100.44, 100.73
Support Levels: 99.56, 99.29, 99.00
Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( [url=http://www.fxcc.com] http://www.fxcc.com [/url] )
Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 07 2013
